Spatio-temporal coupling analysis and tipping points detection of China's coastal integrated land-human activity-ocean system
编号:1257 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-10-14 13:13:43 浏览:187次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年01月15日 09:00(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S25] Session 25-IGAC-SOLAS: Chemistry and Physics at Surface Ocean and Lower Atmosphere [S25-4] IGAC-SOLAS: Chemistry and Physics at Surface Ocean and Lower Atmosphere

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摘要
The coastal zone is typically highly developed and its ocean environment is vastly exposed to the onshore activities. Land-based pollution, as the “metabolite” of terrestrial human activities, significantly impacts the ocean environment. Although numerous studies have investigated these effects, few have quantified the interactions among land-human activity-ocean across both spatial and temporal scales. In this study, we have developed a land-human activity-ocean systemic framework integrating the coupling coordination degree model and tipping point to quantify the spatiotemporal dynamic interaction mechanism among the land-based pollution, human activities, and ocean environment in China from 2001 to 2020. Our findings revealed that the overall coupling coordination degree of the China's coastal zone increased by 36.9 % over last two decades. Furthermore, the effect of human activities on China's coastal environment remained within acceptable thresholds, as no universal tipping points for coastal pollution or ocean environment has been found over the 20-year period. Notably, the lag time for algal blooms, the key indicator of ocean environment health, was found to be 0–3 years in response to the land economic development and 0–4 years in response to land-based pollution. Based on the differences inspatiotemporal interactions among land-human activity-ocean system, we employed cluster analysis to categorrize China's coastal provinces into four types and to develop appropriate management measures. Quantifying the interaction mechanism within the land-human activity-ocean system could aid decision-makers in creating sustainable coastal development strategies. This enables efficient use of land and ocean resources, supports coastal conservation and restoration efforts, and fosters effective management recommendations to enhance coastal sustainability and resilience.
关键词
Coastal development, coupling, tipping points, ecosystem health
报告人
Guanqiong Ye
Professor Zhejiang University

稿件作者
Guanqiong Ye Zhejiang University
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月13日

    2025

    01月17日

    2025

  • 09月27日 2024

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月17日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
承办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China
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