Synergistic Effect of Warming in the Tropical Indian Ocean and North Tropical Atlantic on the Central-Pacific Type of La Nin a Based on Observations and CMIP5
编号:321 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-10-21 13:56:16 浏览:131次 口头报告

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摘要
Previous studies have indicated that boreal winter-to-spring sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA)
over the tropical Atlantic or Indian Ocean can trigger the central-Pacific (CP) type of ENSO in the following winter due to
winds over the western Pacific. Here, with the aid of observational data and CMIP5 model simulations, we demonstrate
that the ability of the winter-to-spring north tropical Atlantic (NTA) SSTA or Indian Ocean Basin (IOB) mode to initiate
CP ENSO events in the following winter may strongly depend on each other. Most warming events of the IOB and NTA,
which are followed by CP La Niña events, are concomitant. The synergistic effect of the IOB and NTA SSTA may produce
greater CP ENSO events in the subsequent winter via Walker circulation adjustments. The impacts between warming and
cooling events of the IOB and NTA SSTA are asymmetric. IOB and NTA warmings appear to contribute to the subsequent
CP La Niña development, which is much greater than IOB and NTA cooling contributing to CP El Niño. Overall,
a combination of the IOB and NTA SSTA precursors may improve predictions of La Niña events.
关键词
Indian Ocean; North Atlantic Ocean; Atmosphere-ocean interaction; ENSO; Climate models; Interannual variability
报告人
Xia Zhao
Associate Professor Ministry of Natural Resources;The First Institute of Oceanography

稿件作者
Guang Yang Ministry of Natural Resources;The First Institute of Oceanography
Xia Zhao Ministry of Natural Resources;The First Institute of Oceanography
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月13日

    2025

    01月17日

    2025

  • 09月27日 2024

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月17日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
承办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China
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