报告开始:2025年01月17日 10:50(Asia/Shanghai)
报告时间:15min
所在会场:[S35] Session 35-Eddy Variability in the Ocean and Atmosphere: Dynamics, Parameterization and Prediction [S35-1] Eddy Variability in the Ocean and Atmosphere: Dynamics, Parameterization and Prediction
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Current coupled climate models contain large biases in simulating tropical cyclogenesis, reducing the confidence
in tropical cyclone (TC) projection. In this study, we investigated the influence of sea surface temperature (SST) biases
on TC genesis in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 simulations from 1979 to 2014. Positive TC genesis
biases were found over the tropical central North Pacific (CNP) in most of climate models, including the high-resolution models.
Compared to coupled models, TC genesis density (TCGD) simulations over CNP in uncoupled models forced by observational
SST improved obviously. A warm SST bias over the tropical CNP in the coupled models is the main cause of TC genesis
biases. The SST bias–induced diabatic heating leads to an anomalous Gill-type atmospheric circulation response, which contributes
to a series of favorable environmental conditions for TC formation over the CNP. Numerical experiments were also
performed with HiRAM to demonstrate the influence of SST biases on the TCGD simulation, further confirming our conclusion.
The current results highlight the importance of improving TC simulation in state-of-the-art climate models by reducing
SST simulation bias.
01月13日
2025
01月17日
2025
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