Lapsed El Niño impact on North Atlantic and Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone activity in 2023
编号:510 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-12-26 10:12:46 浏览:183次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年01月17日 11:35(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S35] Session 35-Eddy Variability in the Ocean and Atmosphere: Dynamics, Parameterization and Prediction [S35-1] Eddy Variability in the Ocean and Atmosphere: Dynamics, Parameterization and Prediction

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摘要
A typical El Niño event often results in suppressed tropical cyclone (TC) genesis frequency (TCGF) over the North Atlantic (NA) and a distinct northwest-southeast dipole pattern in TCGF anomaly over the western North Pacic (WNP). The 2023 saw a strong El Niño event but surprisingly active NA and suppressed WNP TC activities. Here, we present that these unprecedented deviations were driven by the record-warm NA, a record-breaking negative phase of the Paci c Meridional Mode (PMM), and background global warming. Results from high-resolution global model experiments demonstrate that extraordinary Atlantic warming dominated the increased NA TCGF and contributed equally with the PMM to the suppressed WNP TCGF, overshadowing El Niño’s impact. Global warming also contributed to the observed TCGF anomalies. Our findings demonstrate that the typical in uence of strong El Niño events on regional TC activity could be markedly altered by other climate modes, highlighting the complexity of TC genesis in a warming world.
关键词
Tropical cyclone, El Nino, Pacific Meridional Mode, Tropical North Atlantic, Global Warming
报告人
Jiuwei Zhao
Associate Professor Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology

稿件作者
Jiuwei Zhao Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月13日

    2025

    01月17日

    2025

  • 09月27日 2024

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月17日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
承办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China
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