Intensification of mesoscale convective systems in the East Asian rainband over the past two decades
编号:632 访问权限:仅限参会人 更新:2024-12-31 08:19:38 浏览:199次 口头报告

报告开始:2025年01月15日 14:00(Asia/Shanghai)

报告时间:15min

所在会场:[S4] Session 4-Extreme Weather and Climate Events: Observations and Modeling [S4-2] Extreme Weather and Climate Events: Observations and Modeling

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摘要
As one of the major producers of extreme precipitation, mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) have received much attention. In the summer of 2020, large regions of East Asia suffered extensive flooding and damage. Therefore, understanding the long-term changes of MCSs is crucial to gain insights into how extreme weather may change in the context of global warming. Recently, MCSs over several hotpots, including the Sahel and US Great Plains, have been found to intensify under global warming. However, compared to several other MCS hotpots, the investigation of long-term changes of MCSs is scarce over East Asia. Here, based on a high spatiotemporal resolution satellite precipitation product and a novel MCS tracking method, we find that MCSs have become more frequent and intense in the East Asian rainband and accounted for three quarters of the total rainfall increase during 2000-2021. It is further found that increases in atmospheric total column water vapor, which is mainly due to increased temperature caused by anthropogenic forcing, leads to more frequent large-scale water vapor-rich environments that are responsible for the intensification of MCSs. As water vapor increases with global warming, it is very likely that MCSs will continue to intensify in this region into the future. (This study has been published and selected as GRL Cover Paper, please see more details in: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/grl.64259)
关键词
mesoscale convective systems, East Asian summer monsoon, global warming, extreme precipitation, novel tracking method
报告人
Puxi Li
Associate Researcher Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences; China Meteorological Administration

稿件作者
Puxi Li Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences; China Meteorological Administration
Haoming Chen Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China Meteorological Administration
Fengfei Song Ocean University of China
Jian Li Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China Meteorological Administration
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重要日期
  • 会议日期

    01月13日

    2025

    01月17日

    2025

  • 09月27日 2024

    初稿截稿日期

  • 01月17日 2025

    注册截止日期

主办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
承办单位
State Key Laboratory of Marine Environmental Science, Xiamen University
Department of Earth Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China
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